Week 13 Fantasy Blog

Fantasy Tips, Inside the Game, Playbook War Room

Quarterbacks

Aaron Rodgers (AP)

Aaron Rodgers (AP)

1.  Aaron Rodgers:  After a disappointing week against the Giants, we believe Rodgers will bounce back. Look for the Packers to make a concerted effort to chip the edges and hold a RB/TE in to help keep Rodgers upright. In an important divisional matchup, we think Rodgers gets back on track.
2.  Tom Brady
3.  Peyton Manning
4.  Robert Griffin III
5.  Matthew Stafford
6.  Eli Manning
7.  Andrew Luck:  The Lions do a great job of eliminating team’s big plays down the field. They are committed to keeping two safeties back and forcing QBs to beat them underneath. What this means for Luck is that he is going to have to be diligent about taking what the defense gives him, look for his numbers to be starter-worthy, but not overwhelming.
8.  Colin Kaepernick:  Kaepernick has been very efficient in his two games as a starter. The 49ers have enough weapons that Kaepernick has to do very little to produce good numbers. Combine that with his ability to generate points with his legs, and he could very well be a borderline starter this week.
9.  Matt Schaub
10.  Cam Newton
11.  Tony Romo
12.  Andy Dalton
13.  Joe Flacco:  Flacco and the Ravens offense has really stalled the last two weeks. One of those weeks included a matchup with the Steelers that saw him throw for only 164 yards and 0 touchdowns. The Steelers can shut down the rushing attack and then use some creativity generating pressure, both things that affect Flacco’s production.
14.  Carson Palmer
15.  Ryan Fitzpatrick

Running Backs

Marshawn Lynch (AP)

Marshawn Lynch (AP)

1.  Adrian Peterson
2.  Arian Foster
3.  Trent Richardson
4.  Jamaal Charles
5.  Doug Martin
6.  C.J. Spiller
7.  Ray Rice
8.  Frank Gore
9.  Alfred Morris
10.  Chris Johnson
11.  Marshawn Lynch:  The Seahawks really struggled last week controlling the line of scrimmage against a physical Dolphins front 4. The Bears DL has a similar physicality to the Dolphins. They possess a unique combination of strength and speed that we believe will once again stall the Seahawks rushing attack.
12.  Ahmad Bradshaw
13.  Stevan Ridley

Marcel Reece (AP)

Marcel Reece (AP)

14.  Marcel Reece:  Even with Darren McFadden getting healthier this week, Reece still should be a focal point of this offense. McFadden needs to be eased back into the starting lineup, so we think Reece will continue to see a lot of touches. The Browns are fairly stout up front, but Reece’s involvement in the passing game should keep him productive.
15.  Steven Jackson
16.  Felix Jones
17.  BenJarvus Green-Ellis
18.  Knowshon Moreno:  The Bucs have an extremely stout run defense, tops in the league giving up only 82 yards per game. However, the Broncos are very unique with their RBs and the situations they run in. Rarely does Manning run the football against a loaded box, which means there are fewer guys to block. Look for the Bucs to be forced to keep their attention on the passing game which should help Moreno put up some decent yardage on the ground.
19.  Ryan Mathews
20.  Jonathan Dwyer:  Anytime you hear that a player has been named the starting running back, mid-season, you have to believe that he is going to receive the majority of the touches. With that being said, the Steelers might still be without Big Ben, which means Dwyer could see a lot of carries.

Wide Receivers

Randall Cobb (AP)

Randall Cobb (AP)

1.  A.J. Green
2.  Calvin Johnson
3.  Demaryius Thomas
4.  Andre Johnson
5.  Randall Cobb:  Cobb has become Aaron Rodgers favorite target that is quite clear to us. With that being said, the Vikings zone coverage will make it harder for the outside WRs than it will for Cobb in the slot. Since we think Rodgers will have a big day, we believe Cobb should too.
6.  Brandon Marshall
7.  Reggie Wayne
8.  Victor Cruz
9.  Wes Welker:  Welker saw twice as many targets as any other pass catcher in New England last week. The Dolphins have struggled in coverage this season, especially in the slot, which should mean a big day for Welker.
10.  Dez Bryant
11.  Hakeem Nicks
12.  Vincent Jackson
13.  Eric Decker

Stevie Johnson (AP)

Stevie Johnson (AP)

14.  Stevie Johnson:  Stevie was finally able to generate a big play in the passing game last week. One thing you know about the Bills offense is that they’re going to always make a concerted effort to get Johnson the ball. The Jaguars are 28th in the league against the pass, so Johnson should have a big game.
15.  Jordy Nelson
16.  Danario Alexander
17.  Cecil Shorts
18.  Torrey Smith
19.  T.Y. Hilton
20.  Pierre Garcon:  The Giants’ pass rush was able to cause the Packers fits last week, but it doesn’t take away from the fact that they were beat for a long TD. With that being said, Garcon’s ability to stretch the field should be utilized a handful of times this week. Look for him to continue to put up flex-quality numbers.
21.  Justin Blackmon
22.  Danny Amendola
23.  Larry Fitzgerald
24.  Dwayne Bowe
25.  Steve Smith

Tight Ends

Vernon Davis

Vernon Davis

1.  Owen Daniels
2.  Aaron Hernandez
3.  Jason Witten
4.  Vernon Davis:  Once again, playing Vernon Davis comes as a risk. He has become the ultimate boom or bust fantasy TE. He was getting open last game; the ball was simply not coming his way. Combine that with a costly drop and it is hard to count of Davis week in and week out. He has serious potential to have a good day, but could also lay another egg.
5.  Brandon Myers
6.  Antonio Gates
7.  Jermaine Gresham
8.  Martellus Bennett:  The Giants rediscovering their passing attack is music to Bennett owners’ ears. Eli is finding a rhythm once again, and seems to be more in sync with the entire offense. The Redskins have struggled all year covering TEs down the field, which makes Bennett a very solid start this week.
9.  Heath Miller
10.  Brandon Pettigrew

Defenses

Arizona Cardinals defense (AP)

Arizona Cardinals defense (AP)

1.  San Francisco 49ers
2.  Houston Texans
3.  Chicago Bears
4.  Arizona Cardinals:  The Cardinals blitz scheme is going to cause some havoc on the Jets interior OL and Mark Sanchez. Sanchez has not shown us that he can stand tall with pressure in his face and the Cardinals are one of the best in the league at bringing pressure up the middle. Look for some sacks and a turnover or two from this unit.
5.  New England Patriots
6.  New York Jets:  As good of a start as the Cardinals are this week, the Jets could pose some problems for this Arizona offense as well. Ryan Lindley is still not completely comfortable back in the pocket which leads to some arrant throws. We expect the Jets unique coverage and “pass-off” scheme to really confuse Lindley. Look for a few turnovers from this unit this week.
7.  Seattle Seahawks
8.  Dallas Cowboys
9.  Baltimore Ravens
10.  Carolina Panthers:  The Chiefs are one of the league leaders in turnovers, which by default make the Panthers a justifiable start this week.

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